., it's the fiscal cliff. there is a real danger that u.s. economic growth could be weaker in the first half than people are expected and, therefore, the implications for oil prices will be negative. but the other thing, of course, that you have to look at and the other side of the equation is the supply side. at the moment, really we've got to see what opec wants to do. last year, the impact of the embargo wasn't -- was like a six week impact and it was forgotten about very quickly. and if you think about it, last year was a very, very steady year for oil prices. wti, as you said, is going to post the lowest rise in several years. in fact, i looked back in my forecast that i had for wti at the beginning of 2012. and it was $111 $a barrel. i moved it down to $110 in the middle of the year thinking it might get a little weaker and poked around and did absolutely nothing. >> i wonder whether the question is going to come back again into the oil markets given that we're looking at the israeli elections coming up in january. but back to the u.s.